AVL Price Rise Analysis - February 12, 2026
AVL is currently experiencing a price rise, with a 13.48% increase in the last 24 hours. Average daily funding rates are significantly negative at -5.499%, indicating that short positions are paying long positions. If current conditions persist, historical data suggests there could be a potential price drop if longs start taking profits.
Key Metrics
Analysis
AVL's price is currently $0.04, reflecting a 13.48% increase over the past 24 hours. This upward price movement coincides with a notably negative average daily funding rate of -5.499%. This negative funding rate implies that holders of short positions are incentivized to close their positions by paying those holding long positions. In previous instances where similar conditions have been observed (rising price with negative funding rates), a significant sell-off has occurred when long position holders begin to take profits, potentially triggering a downward price movement.
AVL is available for trading on Bybit, MEXC, and Aster. Funding rates vary across these exchanges: Bybit shows a significantly negative funding rate of -13.319%, MEXC has a funding rate of -3.181%, and Aster shows a slightly positive funding rate of 0.004%. The substantial negative funding rate on Bybit may indicate strong short interest there.
Levels to monitor include potential resistance around $0.05 (approximately 15-20% above the current price). If the price fails to sustain its upward momentum, a level around $0.04 could act as support. It is important to note that open interest is currently $0.49M.
It's crucial to recognize that this scenario could be invalidated if strong buying pressure continues, preventing long position holders from taking profits. Should buying pressure sustain or increase, the upward price trend may persist, negating the potential for a price drop. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
Risk Assessment
Market risks could invalidate this potential price drop. Unexpected positive news or a surge in buying volume could counteract the effects of profit-taking by long position holders. Furthermore, a broader market rally could lift AVL's price despite the negative funding rates. These conditions could lead to further price appreciation rather than a decline.
Volatility and liquidity also pose risks. AVL's price could experience rapid fluctuations, potentially leading to losses for both long and short position holders. Low liquidity could exacerbate these fluctuations. Traders should be aware that past performance does not guarantee future results. This report is for educational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell AVL.
Trading Strategy
This is an educational overview and NOT a trading recommendation. With AVL's current price at $0.04, a delta-neutral strategy could hypothetically involve identifying levels where the price may face resistance or find support. Technical resistance has been observed around $0.05 (15-20% above the current price), while potential support may exist around $0.04. A delta-neutral strategy seeks to balance the risk of price movements by holding offsetting positions. Note: This is not a trading signal. Individual traders must conduct their own research and carefully manage their risk.
Exchange Data
| Exchange | Price | Funding Rate | Open Interest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bybit | $0.043 | -1.1099% | - |
| MEXC | $0.043 | -1.0605% | - |
| Aster | $0.045 | 0.0013% | - |
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.